Nuggets vs. Pistons Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 16, 2023

The Denver Nuggets (46-23) head into their matchup against the Detroit Pistons (16-54) on March 16, 2023 as double-digit favorites. Denver is favored by 12 points. The matchup’s point total is 228.5.

Nuggets vs. Pistons Odds

  • Nuggets odds to win: -762
  • Pistons odds to win: +538
  • Spread: Nuggets (-12)
  • Total: 228.5

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Game Time and Information

  • When: Thursday, March 16, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
  • Where: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan
  • TV: BSDET and ALT

Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Pistons?

Nuggets and Pistons Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Nuggets have a 2-2-1 record against the spread in games they were favored by 12 points or more this season.

The Pistons have a 4-6 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 12 points or more this season.

The Nuggets and the Pistons combine to average 0.5 fewer points per game than the over/under of 228.5 set for this matchup.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 231.8 points per game, 3.3 more than the point total in this game.

The average over/under the Nuggets have had set in games this year is 1.5 more points than this outing’s point total.

Detroit’s games this season have averaged a total of 229.8 points, 1.3 more than the point total in this matchup.

So far this season, Denver has put together a 36-31-2 record against the spread.

The Pistons have a 31-38-1 record against the spread this season.

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets outscore opponents by 3.6 points per game (scoring 116.8 points per game to rank seventh in the league while giving up 113.2 per outing to rank 14th in the NBA) and have a +251 scoring differential overall.

The Nuggets rank 17th in the league at 42.9 rebounds per game. That’s 2.6 more than the 40.3 their opponents average.

Denver hits 12.1 three-pointers per game (15th in the league) at a 38.7% rate (second-best in the NBA), compared to the 11.5 its opponents make while shooting 34.9% from deep.

The Nuggets average 117.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (first in the league), and give up 113.4 points per 100 possessions (19th in the NBA).

So far in the 2022-23 campaign, the Nuggets score 7.9 more points per home game on average than on the road (120.6 at home, 112.7 on the road), but are allowing 6.4 fewer points per home game compared to road games (110.1 at home, 116.5 on the road).

Pistons Stats & Insights

The Pistons’ -515 scoring differential (being outscored by 7.4 points per game) is a result of putting up 111.2 points per game (28th in NBA) while allowing 118.6 per contest (28th in league).

Detroit ranks 18th in the league at 42.8 rebounds per game. That’s two fewer than the 44.8 its opponents average.

The Pistons connect on 11.5 three-pointers per game (18th in the league), while their opponents have made 12 on average.

The Pistons’ 108.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 28th in the NBA, and the 115.5 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 27th in the league.

Detroit scores 113.2 points per game at home, and 109.1 away.

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

The Nuggets get 24.7 points, 11.9 rebounds and 10 assists from Nikola Jokic.

The Nuggets get three three-pointers per game out of Michael Porter Jr..

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope averages 1.5 steals per game, while Aaron Gordon has 0.8 blocks per contest.

Pistons Key Players to Watch

Jaden Ivey racks up 15.4 points per game. He also adds 3.9 rebounds per outing and 4.9 assists per contest.

Jalen Duren has per-game averages of 8.7 points, 1.1 assists and 8.8 rebounds this season.

Ivey hits 1.4 threes per game.

Killian Hayes’ 1.4 steals and Duren’s 0.9 blocks per game are vital to the Pistons’ defensive performance.

Nuggets vs. Pistons Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Pistons (+ 12)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (228.5)

  • Prediction:
    Nuggets 120 – Pistons 110

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