Celtics vs. Timberwolves Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, March 15, 2023

Jayson Tatum and the Boston Celtics (47-22) will look to fend off Anthony Edwards’ Minnesota Timberwolves (35-34) on March 15, 2023. The Celtics are a 5-point favorite. The matchup features a point total of 233.5.

Celtics vs. Timberwolves Odds

  • Celtics odds to win: -206
  • Timberwolves odds to win: +171
  • Spread: Celtics (-5)
  • Total: 233.5

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Game Time and Information

  • When: Wednesday, March 15, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • TV: NBCS-BOS and BSN

Who Will Win Celtics vs. Timberwolves?

Celtics and Timberwolves Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Celtics have a 19-24-1 record against the spread when favored by 5 points or more this season.

In games they have played as at least 5-point underdogs this year, the Timberwolves are 9-6 against the spread.

These two teams average a combined 233.4 points per game, 0.1 fewer points than the over/under of 233.5 set for this game.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 228 points per game, 5.5 fewer than the over/under in this matchup.

The average point total in Celtics games this year is 3.4 fewer points than the over/under of 233.5 in this matchup.

The average point total for Minnesota this season is 2.1 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

Boston is 35-31-3 against the spread this season.

The Timberwolves are 32-35-2 against the spread this season.

Celtics Stats & Insights

The Celtics average 117.7 points per game (fourth in the league) while giving up 112.3 per contest (eighth in the NBA). They have a +371 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 5.4 points per game.

The Celtics average 45.1 rebounds per game (seventh in the league) while conceding 44.0 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 1.1 boards per game.

Boston hits 15.9 three-pointers per game (second-most in the league) while shooting 37.7% from deep (fifth-best in the NBA). It is making 4.2 more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 11.7 per game while shooting 35.2%.

The Celtics average 115.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (fourth in the league), and give up 109.4 points per 100 possessions (fourth in the NBA).

The Celtics have scored at a much higher rate in home games than on the road in the 2022-23 season (120.7 at home versus 114.7 on the road), though they have allowed fewer points in home games than in road games (111.9 opponent points per home game versus 112.8 on the road).

Timberwolves Stats & Insights

The Timberwolves score 115.7 points per game (10th in NBA) and give up 115.7 (18th in league) for a -1 scoring differential overall.

Minnesota falls short in the rebound battle by an average of 3.4 boards. It collects 41.5 rebounds per game (23rd in league) compared to its opponents’ 44.9.

The Timberwolves knock down 12.0 three-pointers per game (16th in the league) at a 35.9% rate (16th in NBA), compared to the 12.7 their opponents make, shooting 37.1% from beyond the arc.

The Timberwolves score 111.1 points per 100 possessions (20th in league), while conceding 110.9 points per 100 possessions (11th in NBA).

At home Minnesota is scoring 116.6 points per game, 1.8 more than it is averaging away (114.8).

Celtics Key Players to Watch

Tatum puts up 30.3 points and 8.9 rebounds per game, with 4.8 assists.

Marcus Smart’s averages this season are 11.3 points, 3.3 rebounds and 6.5 assists per game.

The Celtics get 3.3 three-pointers per game out of Tatum.

Smart averages 1.5 steals per game, while Derrick White swats 0.9 shots per contest.

Timberwolves Key Players to Watch

Edwards pours in 24.9 points per game. He also contributes 5.9 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game this season.

Rudy Gobert has per-game averages of 13.7 points, 1.0 assist and 11.5 rebounds this season.

Edwards knocks down 2.7 threes per game.

The Timberwolves’ defensive efforts get a boost from Edwards’ 1.7 steals and Gobert’s 1.4 blocks per game.

Celtics vs. Timberwolves Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Timberwolves (+ 5)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (233.5)

  • Prediction:
    Celtics 117 – Timberwolves 114

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