Here, we’ll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Darius Garland Over 25.5 Points (-106)
The Cleveland Cavaliers have a delightful matchup tonight with the Charlotte Hornets, and they’re going to be without Donovan Mitchell and Jarrett Allen. That has me on the over on Darius Garland‘s points prop.
With Mitchell and Allen off the court this year, Garland owns a 30.3% usage rate and nets 26.0 points per 36 minutes, according to CourtIQ. That’s a usage-rate bump of 3.2 percentage points.
Charlotte (7th in pace over the past 15) is a massive pace-up spot for Cleveland (29th), and the Cavs being short-handed — and on the road — should help this game stay fairly competitive, ensuring Garland gets his minutes. The spread is 7.5 points, and the Cavaliers’ implied total is 115.5.
We project Garland to score 26.0 points tonight, and there’s upside for a bunch more.
Immanuel Quickley Over 4.5 Assists (-130)
That’s big for Quickley, who averages 5.5 dimes per 36 minutes along with a 23.7% usage rate with Brunson off the court this season.
Quickly is already seeing big minutes — 32 and 41 over the past two, with Brunson missing both of those — and he should feast on a Portland Trail Blazers defense that sits dead last in defensive rating over the past 15 games and has been tagged for 9.2 assists per night by floor generals this season, the fourth-most.
We have Quickley totaling 5.5 assists on Tuesday.
Chris Paul Under 9.5 Assists (-106)
There are a few reasons to back the under on Chris Paul‘s assists at this line of 9.5.
The matchup is a big one. The Milwaukee Bucks — led by the defense of Jrue Holiday — have kept the point-guard position to just 6.6 assists per night over the past 15 games, the fewest in the NBA in that span. Milwaukee is an all-around elite D, sitting third in defensive rating over that 15-game stretch.
On top of that, CP3 has the schedule working against him.
The Phoenix Suns played last night at the Golden State Warriors and had to travel back home for this second leg of a back-to-back. Paul has played in five second legs of a back-to-back this campaign, and his numbers are down pretty much across the board, which is what you’d expect for a player in his age-37 season.
In the split, he’s averaging 8.8 assists and 30.8 minutes per game, compared to season-long marks of 9.1 assists and 32.1 minutes.
The under is the side I’m going to be on.